Guardians vs. Tigers ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9 (2024)

Updated Oct. 9, 2024 3:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Game 3 of the ALDS on Wednesday will feature the Cleveland Guardians traveling to take on the Detroit Tigers. The teams will look to break the 1-1 series deadlock when action begins at 3:08 p.m. ET on TBS, live from Comerica Park. The Guardians have been listed as -113 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Tigers (-107). Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 7.5 runs for the contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians.

ADVERTISEMENT

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 9, 2024 at 3:08 p.m. ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to Watch on TV: TBS
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -113 -107 7.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +155 -185

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have won 66 out of the 102 games, or 64.7%, in which they've been favored.
  • Cleveland has a record of 60-32, a 65.2% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The Guardians have a 53.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have won in 48, or 49.5%, of the 97 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win 44 times in 93 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL CLE 0 · DET 3 MLB RUN LINETO WINTOTAL Cleveland Guardians CLE Detroit Tigers DET

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.
  • The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 12
ERA 1.82
K/9 9.4

Guardians Player Insights

  • The Guardians' best power option comes in the form of Jose Ramirez and his 39-homer 118-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez is fifth in homers and third in RBI.
  • Josh Naylor is batting .243 with 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks.
  • Naylor ranks 18th in homers in baseball, and eighth in RBI.
  • Naylor enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
  • Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a .292 batting average.
  • Kwan will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .357 with a double, a home run, six walks and an RBI.
  • Andres Gimenez has 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks while batting .252.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Steven Kwan 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+275)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+180)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+165)
Kyle Manzardo 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) - 0.5 (+240)
Will Brennan 0.5 (-170) 0.5 (-170) - 0.5 (+245)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a record of 2-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 2-7-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Tigers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 5
ERA 2.83
K/9 7.8

Tigers Player Insights

  • Riley Greene leads the squad with a batting average of .262, and paces the Tigers in home runs, with 24 and runs batted in with 74.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Greene's home run total is 42nd and his RBI tally is 61st.
  • Matt Vierling is batting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Vierling is 117th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 126th in RBI.
  • Colt Keith is hitting .260 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Kerry Carpenter is batting .284 with 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Vierling 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+195)
Colt Keith 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) - 0.5 (+220)
Trey Sweeney 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) - 0.5 (+260)
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 (-205) 0.5 (-205) - 0.5 (+225)
Riley Greene 0.5 (-210) 0.5 (-210) - 0.5 (+190)

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

Guardians vs. Tigers ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9 (5)

Detroit Tigers

Guardians vs. Tigers ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9 (6)

Cleveland Guardians

share

recommended

  • Lindor's grand slam sends Mets into NLCS with 4-1 win over Phillies in Game 4 of NLDS The moments that helped ignite the Padres-Dodgers rivalry ahead of NLDS Game 5 How Pete Alonso is swinging the Mets' postseason — and perhaps his future in New York
  • How to watch the 2024 MLB Playoffs: TV channels, streaming, dates, times 2024 MLB Playoff bracket, schedule, picture, standings 2024 World Series odds: Yankees favored; Dodgers second

in this topic

Major League Baseball

Detroit Tigers

Cleveland Guardians

MLB - Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers - 10/09/2024
Gambling
Guardians vs. Tigers ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 9 (2024)
Top Articles
Latest Posts
Recommended Articles
Article information

Author: Sen. Emmett Berge

Last Updated:

Views: 6145

Rating: 5 / 5 (60 voted)

Reviews: 91% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Sen. Emmett Berge

Birthday: 1993-06-17

Address: 787 Elvis Divide, Port Brice, OH 24507-6802

Phone: +9779049645255

Job: Senior Healthcare Specialist

Hobby: Cycling, Model building, Kitesurfing, Origami, Lapidary, Dance, Basketball

Introduction: My name is Sen. Emmett Berge, I am a funny, vast, charming, courageous, enthusiastic, jolly, famous person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.